Black Swans, Resilience & Oshkosh “Theater in the Woods”

“Knowledge”  Painting by Coplu (Coplu.Com)

Report on Resilience

“Resilience – Recovering pilots’ lost flying skills”

The Royal Aeronautical Society, London has published the report that I produced after I opened the Flight Simulation Conference at the RAeS in London in November 2014.

(Data FSF)

My report studies the flight safety statistics from the 1942 until 2014 and the implications for flight simulation industry.

The future trend for Aviation flight safety (hull loses/year) can take three paths:

1. extrapolates to zero by 2025,
2. levels at the incidence of Black Swan Events, or
3. increases as a result of many factors.

My report also analyses three methods to mitigate an increase in the aviation accidents  (senario 3):

1. (ODG osterhoutgroup.com)

   more hands on flying time,

2. stress Proof Deliberate Practice, and
3. cloud hosted high fidelity low cost personal simulation anywhere anytime.   Note:   ODG and Oculus Rift have key technologies that form the basis for hosted VR simulators.

RAeS Airspace, June 2015 p32

Captain Chesley (Sully) Sullenberger  (US Airways Flight 1549)  and Commander Jim Lovell (NASA Apollo 13) also have views on this subject and have contributed to the report.

My report has been published in the June Edition of “Aerospace” (pp 32-37).   This magazine is available for free download for the duration of the Paris Airshow.

Click here to download the report

Optimism (Painting by Coplu (Coplu.Com))

Video Interview

“Black Swan Event: Interview with Captain Richard de Crespigny—Part 1″

Captain Eric Auxier has a very good aviation web site Adventures of CAP’N Aux

Eric interviewed me recently about values and beliefs, leadership, teamwork, training, resilience, decision making, crisis management, open disclosure and personal guarantees.

Click here to view Eric’s first (13 minute) of three videos of the extended interview.

(Erix Auxier)

The interview is also being printed in the July edition of the Airways Magazine.

Meaning of Life  (Painting by Coplu (Coplu.com))

Presentation in the Woods at Oshkosh

Oshkosh 2015

The EAA AirVenture Oshkosh is the World’s premier fly-in airshow in the USA.  The airshow runs from 20-26 July 2015.

I will be presenting at the outdoor Theater in the Woods at the Oshkosh Airshow on the opening evening of Sunday 19th July 2015:

• I’ll tell my story and answer questions.
• A limited number of QF32 books will be available for purchase and signing (pre-order here).
• Please come along and say hello to Coral and me.

I am looking forward to seeing  Commander Jim Lovell, Fred Haise and Gene Kranz also present at the Theatre on Wednesday night 22 July.

Rort Air (Painting by Jaak de Koninck http://www.jaakdekoninck.be)